A federal judge declined to block the closure of nearly 15,000 antitrust arbitrations against Valve. The plaintiff couldn't show irreparable harm. Fifteen thousand individual demands, filed, administered, and then functionally erased.
Most firms reading that headline will think about the legal arguments. Whether the closure was procedurally sound. Whether the ruling survives appeal. Those are real questions. But they're the wrong first question.
The first question is: if a defendant moved to close your arbitrations tomorrow, what documented proof of claimant engagement would you have to fight it?
The Completion Record You Don't Know You Need
Here's what happens when a defendant moves to close or dismiss individual arbitrations in a mass campaign. The arbitration provider asks: are these claimants real? Are they engaged? Have they responded to communications, signed documents, confirmed their participation?
If your answer is "we sent notices," you're already losing.
A completion record is not a log of messages you sent. It's a timestamped, auditable trail of claimant engagement: documents opened, signatures executed, SMS responses received, calls answered, identity verified. Every touchpoint. Every channel. Every response or non-response, with the date and method attached.
The firms that had this for Valve could demonstrate active, ongoing claimant participation. The firms that didn't had a spreadsheet of names and a batch email log. When the judge asked whether the plaintiff had shown irreparable harm, the evidentiary gap was part of the problem.
Defendants Are Learning to Attack the Middle of Your Funnel
For the past three years, defense strategy in mass arb focused on two ends: the front (rewriting arbitration clauses to add batching, bellwethers, and provider switches) and the back (dragging out proceedings to exhaust plaintiff-side capital). Valve introduced a third vector: attacking the middle.
The middle is where your claimants sit between filing and resolution. They're signed. They're filed. And in many campaigns, they're essentially parked. Nobody's talking to them. Nobody's documenting that they're still there, still interested, still reachable.
That's a completion problem dressed up as a procedural one.
When you file 15,000 demands and then go quiet on 14,500 of them while you litigate the first batch, you've created exactly the argument a defendant needs: these aren't real, active disputes. They're placeholders. And a court that's already skeptical of mass arb volume has every reason to agree.
The Math Behind Continuous Engagement
Let's run the numbers on what it costs to keep a claimant provably engaged versus what it costs to lose them.
On a 10,000-claimant matter with expected recovery of $1,500 per claimant and a 30% contingency fee, your gross fee pool is $4.5 million. If a defendant successfully moves to close 40% of your arbitrations because you can't demonstrate ongoing claimant participation, you just lost $1.8 million in expected fees.
Now compare that to the cost of continuous engagement. At $9.99 per fully signed claimant (GroupSettle's rate for release and closing statement execution), your completion cost on 10,000 claimants is roughly $100,000. Even if you add periodic re-engagement touches across a 12-month campaign, you're spending a fraction of what you'd lose to a successful closure motion.
The firms that treat completion as a line item instead of an insurance policy are the ones who get blindsided.
What a Defensible Completion Record Actually Looks Like
If you want your completion record to survive a closure motion, it needs five things:
- Timestamped document execution. Not "we emailed them a PDF." Native document signing with audit trails showing when the claimant opened, reviewed, and signed each document. This is the foundation.
- Multi-channel engagement logs. SMS delivery and response records, email open and click data, call logs with duration and outcome. Each channel logged independently with its own timestamp.
- Identity verification records. Proof that the claimant is who they say they are, captured at intake and refreshed if the campaign runs long enough to warrant it.
- Periodic confirmation of participation. A claimant who signed a retainer 14 months ago and hasn't responded to anything since is not demonstrably participating. The record needs periodic touchpoints, even simple ones, that show the claimant is still there.
- Automated inquiry handling. When a claimant calls or texts asking "what's happening with my case," that interaction needs to be logged, resolved, and stored. An AI super agent that handles over 80% of those inquiries on its own creates a documented engagement record that a call center voicemail never will.
The Valve Lesson Is Not About Valve
Valve is a gaming company. The antitrust claims were specific. The procedural posture was unusual. None of that matters for the principle.
The principle is this: defendants now know they can attack the middle of your campaign. They can argue that your claimants are paper filings, not active participants. And if your completion infrastructure can't prove otherwise, you're exposed.
Amazon's new clause. LG's bellwether structure. The employer batching wave. Every one of these creates a campaign where claimants will sit in a queue for months or years. Every one of them creates the same vulnerability Valve exploited: a defendant who points at 10,000 dormant filings and says "these aren't real disputes."
Your defense is not a legal argument. Your defense is a completion record that proves, touchpoint by touchpoint, that every claimant on your roster is real, reachable, and still participating.
Build the Record Before You Need It
The firms that will survive the next closure motion are the ones building their completion infrastructure now. Not after a defendant files the motion. Not after the arbitration provider asks for proof of engagement. Now.
That means owning the outreach stack so every touch is logged in one system. It means native document signing so every signature has an audit trail. It means an engagement cadence that keeps claimants warm across batch cycles, bellwether timelines, and the long stretches where nothing seems to be happening but everything is at risk.
Fifteen thousand arbitrations closed. The ones that survive the next wave will be the ones with a record that proves they were never dormant in the first place.
This is the kind of completion modeling GroupSettle runs for plaintiff firms before they file their first demand. If you want to see what a defensible engagement record looks like on your matter, reach out to Kasia at (813) 737-7025 or visit massarb.groupsettle.com.